Jump to content

Delano

Members
  • Posts

    5,580
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    257

Posts posted by Delano

  1. When i lived in Manhattan rush hour happened three times a day. And each time period was longer. Next to taking the train riding a bike  was the quickest way to get around at least for short distances. It was only in the  90's the Transportation Alternatives' advocacy work statred making inroads. By sponsoring bike ti work week and getting bike laned and bike paths.

    • Like 1
  2. I think you have the most noble of actions. A 1,5 degree rise in temperature is serious. The data shows population is a stronger link. Which means there needs to be a reduction in population. You would exxagerate using numbers if that would encourage conservation. I think we should use less resources ces. My opionion is different but my actions are similar. I would not question your integrity. But i always interrogate numbers. Brother 

    Will the temperature rise 1,5 every year. I doubt it. I hope that i am right but lets act like i am wrong. And stop by so much stuff we don't need.

  3. Pioneer how many languages can you speak or understand. 

    Pioneer not everything is binary.

    For instance Dr King didn't want to lead nor did Ghandi. Just because someone has no desire to lead doesn't mean they can't be leaders.

    Pioneer not everything is binary.

    For instance Dr King didn't want to lead nor did Ghandi. Just because someone has no desire to lead doesn't mean they can't be leaders.

    • Like 1
  4. I knew you made up the numbers because they don't make sense.

     

    Like i said earlier not only can i analyse numbers i can tell when they don't make sense. 

     

    That minutiae that your referring to is called statistics.

     

    You can't prove  your numbers because they are an inaccurate use of statistics. I told you that then, I am telling you now.

     

    Maybe take a refresher course in statistics. 

     

     

  5. Troy what's the probability of flipping a coin 100 times and getting 75 heads. 

    Or how did you decide 100 tosses and 75 heads. And 10000 tosses. You just made up those numbers. If you knew about the central limit theorem. Which is a key statiscal concept. You would know that you don't need 10,000 trials .

    I have given you a hint and you probably still can't see what is wrong with your statement. 

     

  6. I am asking you a very simple statistical question. What's the probability of getting 75 heads out of 100 tails. 

     

    A better question is what is the mumber of heads (bound) for a balanced coin. 

    Troy the probability of a head is .5 over an infinite number of trials.  However if you toss a coin  100 1000 10000. You may get more or less than 50% heads. So in all those examples. What's the probability of tossing heads 75% of the time.

  7. On 6/23/2017 at 10:23 PM, Troy said:

     

    I did not choose to discuss "the data," because I completely disagree with the premise. What is the point of discussing the two plots you've posted? As I said, I do not think what you've presented is sufficient to understand man's impact on climate, what is the point on delving deeper into what I view as a flawed assumption?

    Looking at it another way;

    Lets take it for granted that I agree 100% with the conclusions you've drawn from the data you've obtained. That will not change my position on climate change. Do you understand why?

    Even if I completely disagreed with your interpretation of the data, that will not prove that I'm right about climate change; besides you'll simply say I'm too stupid to understand the data.

    In either scenario, my position does not change.

    Wow

  8.  Here you go, explain how this example is correct. Not how you are using it like a parable, and you didn't really think about the numbers.Or even better can you compute the probability in each example and tell me the name of the test you use to compare two means.

     

               

    On 5/21/2013 at 9:50 PM, Troy said:
    Pioneer your points all ASSUME that there is indeed a spiritual world.  One could easily argue the opposite using your very same reasoning.

    Del, a horse has a tail but that does not make it a mouse because a mouse has a tail.  That aside what is logical about Astrology?

    On my 3rd point, if you flipped a coin 100 times and got heads 75 times it would be false for you to say there is a 75% chance of getting heads on a coin toss -- even if you flipped the coin under some tarot or astrologically defined conditions.

    The reason is the likelihood of me flipping a coin 100 times and getting the same result, without consulting tarot card or astrological charts is very possible.  Sure you can flip the coin 1,000 time and get marginally better results but it would still not be enough data.

    It would be better If you got 10,000 people to flip the coin 1,000 times under the tarot conditions and different set of 10,000 people to flip a coin under random conditions. If you compared the results between the two sets of people under those conditions and found a significant variance you might have something.  Especially if someone else was able to reproduce your experiment and get the same results. 

    You can't do this by yourself.

     

     

×
×
  • Create New...