umbrarchist

Overall No! But strange things must happen in the next 3 years. Some kind of Trumplosion has to happen. Whether it is an implosion or an explosion I have no idea. Russia is imploding. Why Putin the Putrid hasn't been assassinated by now I don't get.

Vulcan Anarchist Manifesto It is fascinating that we are now living in an Amok Time. The administration of the United States government is reeking havoc in the US and around the world, economically, politically and militarily. It was in the first episode of the second season of "Star Trek" that Leonard Nimoy in the role of Mr. Spock introduced the Vulcan salute 🖖 and greeting "Live Long and Prosper". That episode was titled "Amok Time". As a science fiction artwork "Star Trek" often presented us with the perennial SF problem, what to do with, and how to cope with changing technology. It is possible that we have been failing at that in a major way since the end of World War Two. The Great Depression before WWII may have helped bias economists and politicians to make a serious error. We have been hearing GDP, Gross Domestic Product, on a nearly daily basis since about 1990. Before that it was GNP, Gross National Product. The difference is of no practical importance to the vast majority of people. The increase in what the acronyms stand for has been regarded as Economic Growth, but that is not quite the case. It is Growth in Economic Activity but what it actually increases can depend on the amount of Depreciation. At this point we can raise the Logical Issue of what exactly do we mean by PROSPERITY??? The concept of GNP was developed in the late 1930s when the US and the World were still in the grip of The Depression. Politicians of the day were frantic about UneMployMent and what the unemployed might get up to. A derivative concept NNP, Net National Product, was part of the Economic Concept. NNP = GNP - Depreciation What was meant by Depreciation in 1938 was strictly Capital Goods in the form of machinery and buildings to further production. Samuelson's Economics textbook of 1948 continued teaching that perspective and ignored automobiles and refrigerators purchased by consumers. However in 1948 fewer than 1% of American households had televisions. See where Technology and Star Trek are sneaking into the picture? The Enterprise of economics must expand The Federation. By 1950 almost 10% of American homes had televisions and the percentage grew continuously through the 50s. It reached 90% in 1962. Possibly the fastest spread of a technology in history up to that time. What probably could not be known at the time, but can now be found with computer analysis is that before 1965 "planned obsolescence" was appearing in print more often than 'consumerism' but afterwards consumerism took off and left PO in the dust. Not even Mr Spock could have known. What was TeleVision advertising doing to the minds of Americans? Do we have permanent cultural Brain Damage? The terms can be graphed over time with the N-gram App. So what has advertising and technological change done to society and economics since the 1960s? The Moon Landing was So Long Ago! The Original Star Trek was off the air before Apollo 11, but the next generation of technology was always coming. What have economists been telling us about the Depreciation of consumer technology for Decades? NOTHING! Karl Marx is an infamous name in the subject of Political-Economics. He was an intellectual participant in the Amok Time of the French Revolution of 1848. His "Communist Manifesto" was not a minor incendiary at the event. His name continues to echo down the halls of history getting louder with "Das Kapital" and every economic stumble of Capitalism. Marx said that he was not a Marxist but vast numbers of lesser intellectuals have carried on in his name. The Union of Soviet Socialist Republics has come and gone in his name but after 177 years political-economics seems on the verge of running amok again. Can the World handle a Trumpression? Can a little historical perspective possibly help us see through this mess? How many horses were there in New York City in 1899, 16 years after Marx's death? Somewhere in the neighborhood of 150,000, there was no great urgency for accuracy. This presented a problem for every major city because each horse produced about 25 pounds of manure per day. 13 thousand Tons per week! There were no automobiles when Marx died. Henry Ford introduced the Model-T in 1908. By 1912 the number of horses, which was already declining, equaled the number of motor vehicles which was rising to crossover at about 110,000. The horse population was down to 56,000 by 1920. Fortunately they did not have to count the flies. The count was at 22,000 by 1930. The gasoline engine made more things possible than automobiles. The Wright brothers' plane of 1903 looked like something only madmen would try to fly but the advances over the next 40 years were remarkable. The fastest planes of World War One topped out at 130 mph. But 30 years after the Model-T engineers were working on the P-38. The first Lightning took to the sky on January 27th of 1939. It's cruising speed of 275 mph was more than double the maximum of machines that fought the Great War. By the end of World War Two a number of planes were getting near the theoretical maximum for propeller driven craft. Technology was affecting the world before Marx died in 1883. Marx wrote about the depreciation of "rolling stock", that is Trains. Only volume 1 of Das Kapital was published by his death, with 11 mentions of 'Depreciation'. Frederick Engles, with what must have required herculean effort, edited and published volumes 2 and 3, with 'depreciation' arising many more times, about 100. Marx must have mentioned Adam Smith more than 100 times in Das Kapital also. What did Smith say that might still be relevant today? He never mentioned 'depreciation' but used the word 'education' Eighty Times and wrote "read, write and ACCOUNT" FIVE times. In 1776 50% of Brits were illiterate, but where are economists advocating mandatory accounting in high schools today? The US could have done that since 1950. Sounds more useful than 4 years of English literature. Vladimir Lenin became an ardent believer in Marxist theory and a central driving figure in the Russian Revolution. Although a believer in Marx, like many other Marxists, he did not say much about Marx's attention to the detail of 'Depreciation'. But the year after his death in 1924 a new techno-economic phenomenon became a feature of the future. In 1925 the Phoebus Cartel was formed to organize the "Planned Obsolescence" of light bulbs. A technology that was struggling to work when Lenin was struggling to walk had become too good for satisfactory corporate profits after his death. It was to have its quality reduced to raise the demand for the quantity desired by the manufacturers. The customers must buy more for the benefit of investors. The Wall Street Crash was 4 years away. The Depression stressed out the entire world but scientific and technological advances continued. The neutron was discovered in 1932 and got greater historical significance in a dozen years. The global economic condition motivated a lot of thought about curing the economic malaise. Bernard London wrote about alleviating the problem with Planned Obsolescence, also in 1932. World War Two provided an eventual solution to unemployment though it came with strings attached, death and destruction, which might be regarded as very high speed depreciation. All things must pass so eventually the War ended, but what did the Depression and the War do to the psyche of America? A fanatical belief in Economic Growth seems to have taken over the Power Elite after the War. Who decided what to do with the technology and the phenomenal productive capacity? In the early 2000s Will Steffen and his colleagues coined the term "The Great Acceleration" for the period beginning immediately after the War. The period that the "Baby Boomers" were born into. The period that Donald Trump was born into, in 1946. But unlike most Boomers, he was born rich. What do children know about Normal? They just see and experience whatever is happening at the time. Post-WWII America was not Normal. Television was a new thing all through the 1950s. Saturday morning cartoons were Normal for 1950s kids but it had never happened to any previous generation. Europe and Japan were rebuilding from the War. The United States was riding higher than Normal with them temporarily out of the picture. What were economists saying about the Depreciation of Durable Consumer Goods through the 1950s? Who really cared what Vance Packard had written in "The Waste Makers" in 1960? Grow, grow, rah, rah, rah! The first national presidential debate was broadcast in September of 1960. The post-debate analysis showed that radio listeners thought that Nixon had won but television viewers went with Kennedy. More than 60,000,000 Americans watched the debate. Kennedy won the election and by 1962 90% of American households had televisions. Almost everyone could watch The Beatles, Star Trek and eventually, the Moon Landing. Technologies have changed the road we have been traveling since the turn of the 20th Century. Did the Depression raise our fears causing us to miss a turn at the end of World War Two? Has Planned Obsolescence been a bad idea? What if we had made long lasting products but kept prices down by not changing styles? Consider what happened to Ford Model-T prices from 1908 to 1926. Sliding down from $850 to below $300. In the 1930s John Maynard Keynes was writing about a 15-hour workweek for grandchildren. That might have been the 1990s. Maybe we could have had a 3-day workweek. What have we been doing with automobiles since the end of WWII, and Why? What could be the point of constantly redesigning machines that roll along the ground, mostly at less than 100 mph? Faster than that is usually illegal! Are corporations encouraging us to get our egos wrapped up in useless variations of mature, if not antiquated, technology for their economic benefit, just like light bulbs in 1925? This brings us back to Marx's Depreciation but he was not talking about automobiles, they did not exist at the time. We must deal with the economics and consequences of technologies that Marx never imagined. Shouldn't modern economists compute and report the depreciation of current technologies? Other issues that arose during World War Two were the durability, reliability and repairability of machines under wartime conditions. The engine of a Sherman tank could be replaced in 4 hours. Can auto mechanics replace an engine in that time today? What is a "Bathtub Curve"? How long is a "Mean Time To Repair"? Have corporations been at war with the American consumer since 1950? Have Americans been bleeding money? Where are the economists talking about the NET Domestic Product and Demand-Side Depreciation? This ilLogic has proceeded since the Baby Boomers left high school. Professional economists were not advocating mandatory accounting in high schools back then and have not seen the light since. Apparently they cherry-pick what Adam Smith had to say. That "Invisible Hand" is heard from far more often than it should be. The real Adam Smith only mentioned it ONE Time in 1100 pages. The caricature of Smith that is supposed to inspire our Love of Capitalism never taught Logic at the University of Glasgow in 1751. Would the real Smith call "BS" on modern economists? Real accounting would deal with real depreciation and recognize that Real Planned Obsolescence is causing much of it. We are not in Keynesland any more, Toto! The road to serfdom is paved with techno-trash automobiles. We cannot prosper by spending money on crap.🤑 🖖💰 Live Long & Prosper y'all 💰🖖 SF footnote: Voyage from Yesteryear (1982) by James P Hogan https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voyage_from_Yesteryear First 9 chapters Free! https://www.baen.com/Chapters/0671577980/0671577980.htm - - - - - Review - - - - - http://www.troynovant.com/Proteus/Grube-R/Hogan/Voyage-from-Yesteryear.html

If he was dead I would celebrate. Otherwise I do not give a shit. Trump has screwed up way more important stuff. He should have been deadened before this Iran crap.

And how long have there been 8,000,000,000 people on the planet to fuck things up? Trump and Iran are the latest and greatest stupid demonstration. The US Military should have taken him out months ago. How could nuclear submarine commanders not know enough Physics to figure out the Twin Towers Affair? 🤣

. "Follow the money" Presumes that I give a damn who did it. I DO NOT! I am talking about people (everyone) understanding what could and could NOT happen. Physics! If this society was such that most people would Not believe it would the culprits have even tried it? Every high school Physics teacher should explain why they didn't question the steel distribution. But we have a society of bullshit believers.

I haven't looked in this thread in months. Now the moron has gone over the top stupid with this Iran crap. It is arguably too late for the military to take his dumb ass out. If only they had done it in January!

The issue is physics Not disaster. Just because the words 'building' and 'collapse' are there does not mean that they are similar. As far as I can tell the Florida collapse was a combination of flawed design and bad maintenance. Water undermined the foundation. With proper design and bad maintenance it would not have happened. With good maintenance it would not have happened even with the design flaw. Mass falling on and destroying the structure below had nothing to do with it. The WTC destruction was not about water and the top came down onto the lower portion which had to get stronger and heavier all of the way down. Which raises the question of why lots of "experts" don't demand the data though some experts have a problem. Conservation of Momentum The Beat is Physics! https://www.buildzoom.com/contractor/christine-jillian-quinn

The planet cannot sustain the planned obsolescence so some peculiar things will happen before the end of this century. I just watched what I regard as a very funny video about automobiles. A White woman was complaining about the idiotic cybernetic features in overpriced automobiles. She was supposed to pay a subscription for the remote start to preheat her car. 😆🤣😆 The funny thing about the Economic Power Game that people keep calling Capitalism is that the economists are technological illiterates and the system is built on hiding information. I worked for IBM and had to write my own benchmarks to find what IBM was not telling its own employees. I never even saw the word 'benchmark' in IBM documentation. The WTC problem is that middle school kids should figure out that skyscrapers must have more steel toward the bottom. So the problem is the delusional people who have not expected to be told. So all of Gen-Z is an issue. The oldest were 5 on 9/11. I read a post of one complaining about his kindergarten teacher on 9/11. So what is the story with Zoomers who can think their way out of a paper bag? This television brainwashed consumerism that people keep calling Capitalism is an issue. Some Zoomers thank me for information that they have never heard.

How long did humans exist without knowing about Oxygen? Have cats and dogs figured out Oxygen yet? Don't tell them!

I never saw realtime video of the construction of the pyramids and voted against Trump Three Times without ever thinking about the Epstein files. I have suggested dozens of times on BlueSky that the Air Force is guilty of "Dereliction of Duty" for not using an A-10 Warthog to add a few holes to a golf ⛳ course and relieve the country of a "Domestic Enemy". How many Executive Orders has he signed that violate the Constitution? Haven't military officers taken oaths to defend the Constitution? But then there is the really important issue which is also related to Physics. And another case of "Experts" not dealing with Relevant Data. Automobiles depreciating due to wear and tear but the data not being incorporated into the Net Domestic Product. A few weeks ago I watched a video of a Black Woman crying about having to give up her BMW because she could not make the payments. Useless variations in over priced garbage since WWII fighter planes could do 400 mph. Physics is Eternal. Consumerism will totally crash before this century is out. Physics is a B____!

When did people see oxygen? At this point the issue is how/why didn't authoritative sources bring up such an obvious issue 24 years ago? And how can they be trusted in the future to not let something that significant slide?

We are all dependent upon Physics no matter what we think, believe or care about. Part of why the world is so screwed up is people out of touch with Reality. Months ago I asked a SIS to do a steel distribution estimate: The distribution of steel in a skyscraper more than 1,000 feet tall is generally such that the majority of the steel is concentrated in the lower sections of the building. This is because the lower portions must bear the weight of the entire structure above them, requiring more robust and stronger materials. Here is a generalized breakdown of how the steel might be distributed by percentage in each 10% segment of the building's height: 1. Bottom 10% (0-10%): Approximately 25-30% of the total steel 2. 10-20%: Approximately 15-20% of the total steel 3. 20-30%: Approximately 10-15% of the total steel 4. 30-40%: Approximately 8-10% of the total steel 5. 40-50%: Approximately 7-8% of the total steel 6. 50-60%: Approximately 5-7% of the total steel 7. 60-70%: Approximately 4-5% of the total steel 8. 70-80%: Approximately 3-4% of the total steel 9. 80-90%: Approximately 2-3% of the total steel 10. Top 10% (90-100%): Approximately 1-2% of the total steel These percentages are illustrative and can vary depending on the specific design, structural requirements, and architectural choices of the building.

Idiot Quotient statistics are a curious thing. 75% score below 111, 5% score above 124. On the Conspiracy Theory business the amount of "Silence" about the Distribution of Steel down the Twin Towers among people who should regard it as a relatively simple Physics Problem is a rather interesting phenomenon all by itself. I have decided to refer to AI as SIS. Simulated Idiot Savant 😆

The Universe does Not come in Alphabetical Order! I started reading science fiction in 4th grade. This was before Star Trek. My mother had a World Book Encyclopedia sitting right outside my bedroom door. I used that Encyclopedia looking up stuff I encountered in science fiction books at least 10 times as much as I did for school. I would not have a problem with a kid using an AI to research stuff found from reading SF. There is a YouTube video made from 1988 footage of Harvard graduates unable to explain summer and winter. I saw that in 1988 and laughed my ass off. I knew the answer but not because of school. Read enough science fiction and you will encounter Orbital Mechanics. .

The Apocryphal Monolithic White People? https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/maxims-machine-gun-slaughtered-hundreds-thousands-people-63222 Hiram Maxim invented the machine gun. Any Moron can shoot it. Of course it takes an industrial society to mass produce it.