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Posted

Brother Troy, we can only hope though I am not as optimistic about civility in America. But since there's nothing to lose, put me down for $100 that Donald Trump does not finish his term (for any reason); and $200 if he's not reelected. Any more takers?

Posted

$50 on each Troy. on him not finishing. and double or nothing on him being reelected. 

If he gets impeached you have lost both bets.  Health issues voids the bet. Which looks likely. 

Posted

Exactly, and all the racism seems directed at Black people, globally. But coverage of anti-Semitism, Nazism, and such drowns out Black suffering. I've been paying a lot of attention lately, to two Rep. Ilhan Omar who denounces double standards of Congress. Claiming to care about the conditions of Black folk while supporting the disparities of other minority groups.

  • Like 1
Posted

Whoa!  No bet on either one. 

 

@Kalexander2 "...for any reason..." is a nonstarter; as Del suggested 45 is a coronary waiting to happen.

 

@Delano  If he gets impeached before the end of the 1st term, the second bet is off. 

 

5 hours ago, Delano said:

I am concerned about racism and tribalism on a global level.

 

True, you have a point... unfortunately.

 

5 hours ago, Kalexander2 said:

Exactly, and all the racism seems directed at Black people, globally.

 

Ditto.

Posted

Troy my statistics professor said you should know who you are gambling with when you bet.

 

Let's make it interesting. How about  $50. for him not finishing his term. but you only have to pay if he either is impeached or terminates in January. 

Posted
9 hours ago, Troy said:

s a nonstarter; as Del suggested 45 is a coronary waiting to happen.

 

Fair enough. The more painful unusual exit from the Oval Office, wishful-thinking on my part; like a corrupt scientific research team, appointed by the Trump administration, who accidentally leaves and African black mamba aboard his plane. But that isn't very nice thinking though is it?

 

Let's go with $100 to my favorite charity (or yours if he's not) if they impeach Donald Trump, he resigns from office or indicted that prevent him from running for reelection. Double or nothing: and another $100 if he's not re-elected and remain in office past 2020.

 

let's treat it as if it's a split wager, a total sum of $200 on New Year's Day 2020. Or is that too complicated? Your shot brother Troy! Needless I say, this is all dependent on whether America is stable enough to even hold an election in 2020 as people may be too busy killing each other to vote. In which case I win anyhow. My charity can definitely use a hundred dollar contribution, in that case.

Posted

OK @Delano Bet.

 

45 minutes ago, Kalexander2 said:

Let's go with $100 to my favorite charity (or yours if he's not) if they impeach Donald Trump, he resigns from office or indicted that prevent him from running for reelection.

 

@Kalexander2 I'm fine with this bet with the clarification that if 45 chooses not to run in 2020, as opposed to prevented, I win.  We can revisit the reelection bet once 45 completes his term.

  • 1 month later...
  • 2 weeks later...
Posted

Nope, I never did, but I still believe he'll serve out his term.

 

The wheels of justice turn slowly and for men like 45 they rarely turn at all. 

Posted
11 hours ago, Troy said:

justice turn slowly and for men like 45 they rarely turn at all. 

 

Considering DT's continued shirking of established legal norms, brother Troy, it's not even about the wheels of justice, which 45 wields effectively, it's about mounting frustrations of Congress (on both sides) and public opinion, that inevitable road of process. While anything can happen in 18-months (?), the destruction he could cause, pretty much, marks the end of democracy, America as we know it. Especially for White folk looking to capitalize on their newfound progress at ultimate hegemony; and civility in the US. That too is just around the corner, but the fickle finger of fate may demand a delay on that destruction. 

 

Fate won't permit DT until 2020.

Posted
4 hours ago, Delano said:

...and I  can tell you are not following the news. 

 

See @Delano that right there is why we see things so differently.  To me watching the news on a daily basis is like listening to the daily Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and believing you have a handle on the business world.  The "spot" news coverage is largely meaningless -- it is designed to attract eyeballs, and this is done through sensationalism.

 

The news is designed more to get you all riled up and emotional rather than to inform you.  Social media is this concept on steroids.  People who get there "news" on Twitter, for example, believe they are well informed, but this is an illusion without historical context, nuisance, and broader foundational knowledge than a bunch of 280 characters text messages can provide.  Most users of Twitter do not click through and read the underlying source material (when it is provided) and are largely content read quotes out of context, uninformed opinions, and straight up fake news instead.  Mainstream in an attempt to compete with social media is not much better.

 

You follow the news regularly. I don't.  However, I knew 45 would still be in office after two years and you did not believe he would.  How did consuming all that minute by minute news coverage help you?  Serious question whether you choose to answer it or not think about it.

 

Again I say to you @Kalexander2 do now be surprised by a 45 victory in 2020. The electoral college as effectively disenfranchised millions of American Voters.  By the way K2 well do not have a bet for the 45 lasting another two years is this your understanding?

Posted
7 minutes ago, Troy said:

designed to attract eyeballs

  

Excuse me! I think you mean 'distract' eyeballs. No matter the place you're distracted, however, it still comes down to various takes on the information out there, every day. Minimum constant critical and speculative intake, if nothing more than analyzing headlines every day is how you separate the BS for human sh*t. Sorry, the news isn't meaningless, but informative when absorbed with caution. What is information (data) anyway if not an emotional take on current events that shape our perspectives? This includes data taken out of context. We can learn more from lies than the truth. Which is my personal 'brand' "The only story more important than tales about truths is the explanation behind the lies!"

 

Your prediction 45 will finish his term and/or reelected appeared circumstantially based, not on historical or legal facts, but on reasonable speculation; is little more than a hunch.

 

Again, nothing in this day and age surprises me. Yes, we do have a wager 45 won't finish his two-years or reelected. 

Posted
6 hours ago, Kalexander2 said:

Excuse me! I think you mean 'distract' eyeballs.

 

No, I actually atrract eyeballs, as in attract eyeballs to their platforms to collect more behavioral data and serve more advertisements.

 

But to your point, it serves to distract us from understanding and knowing what is important.

 

6 hours ago, Kalexander2 said:

We can learn more from lies than the truth.

 

This logic of the statement completely

escapes me. Perhaps an example of this would help.

 

6 hours ago, Kalexander2 said:

Your prediction 45 will finish his term and/or reelected appeared circumstantially based, not on historical or legal facts, but on reasonable speculation; is little more than a hunch.

 

Still my reasoning proved far more accurate than your consumption of lies. I'll still with ignoring social provides news and stick with books, long form articles, and lectures by knowledgable people.

Posted
7 hours ago, Troy said:

@Delano that right there is why we see things so differently

Exactly I can tell by your comment you aren't watching the news on Trump not even spot checking. At some point do you binge to catch up on what you may have missed? 

Posted
18 minutes ago, Troy said:

attract eyeballs to their platforms to collect more behavioral data and serve more advertisements

 

And even then the attracted eyeballs see', at least, some accurate data. It's how data miners, advertisers, and BS artists establish credibility. Do you not know how to distinguish fact from fiction? Contrary to conventional wisdom, the trees are not a distraction from seeing the forest; they are in the forest. But you won't find any whales or sharks there. If you get my point.

 

31 minutes ago, Troy said:

This logic of the statement completely

escapes me. Perhaps an example of this would help.

 

Who cares about honest, popular truths we already know. What's important is the explanation behind reasons of why anyone would obscure a truth. i.g., "I already know the truth, that 45 is a wannabe con man dictator who merits impeachment"; that truth isn't important. What's important is why anyone would think otherwise. More important is the explanation behind that reason. This way of looking at matters serves to validate or invalidate my cynicism. Keeps me open-minded and reasonable safe from buying BS.

 

45 minutes ago, Troy said:

my reasoning proved far more accurate

 

Drawing from your inferences and conclusions, from books alone does little more than form your ideas; and those ideas, further shaped by 'so-called' "long-form articles, and lectures by knowledgeable people" render you an extension of someone else. If you truly know the truth, as you infer then the lies you seek to avoid leaves you incomplete and misinformed, still.

 

Information, truths, and lies are like healthy cobalt for the body, you get it by eating a little of everything in your local supermarket.

 

My reasoning, I try inductive and deductive logic. But my particular way of thinking, especially when based on what I think is good judgment often remain wanting. Just like you and most people. Hence, you winning that last wager was not act or prediction of genius; it was speculation made on a hunch. Please, don't fall into the trap of denouncing daily intake of information, whether social media or news (left and right-wing). The truth lay in everything and to find it you must look everywhere.

 

 

Posted
9 hours ago, Troy said:

You follow the news regularly. I don't.  However, I knew 45 would still be in office after two years and you did not believe he would.  How did consuming all that minute by minute news coverage help you?  Serious question whether you choose to answer it or not think about it.

Think about the name of this thread. It's an Astrological Prediction. Also our second bet you only pay if he is either impeached or terminated in January. Which is an astrological prediction. Like I said of I get it wrong I'll give up on political prediction. 

 

As an aside I have given up on trying to convince people that astrology works. Actually I moving to not trying to convince anyone to rethink their position.  So may post my go from beige to straight white bread 

 

 

1 hour ago, Kalexander2 said:

"I already know the truth, that 45 is a wannabe con man dictator who merits impeachment"; that truth isn't important. What's important is why anyone would think otherwise

Good point. What's the answer 

Posted
51 minutes ago, Kalexander2 said:

Do you not know how to distinguish fact from fiction?

 

Not always. It depends. 

 

You believed that 45 would not last two years. Why? What "facts" led you to that conclusion?

 

I told you the truth and you rejected it, losing $50 in the process. Even this very moment you dismiss my recognizing the truth as "speculation made on a hunch!?" 

 

So you can't see it. That is fine. You will. The question is will you accept the truth next year?

 

1 minute ago, Delano said:

Which is an astrological prediction. Like I said of I get it wrong I'll give up on political prediction. 

 

Ok, point taken.

 

So in this case my so called  "hunch," "Trumped" astrology huh?

Posted
2 minutes ago, Troy said:

 

So in this case my so called  "hunch," "Trumped" astrology huh

No your hunch trumped my delineation. 

If I win the next bet then astrology wins over your analysis or truth. 

 

It's like if a Black person commits a crime it's all Black people. If a Black person succeeds They are an individual.

Posted
18 minutes ago, Troy said:

You believed that 45 would not last two years. Why? What "facts" led you to that conclusion?

 

 

It was inductive reasoning;  45's behavior and official findings based on truths provided some evidence they'll force him out of office, my conclusion. Logic is neither right nor wrong, except in formal science. And deductive reasoning, derived from many sources. Loss of $50 bucks, because 45 lasted two-years, does not make me wrong. Technically, nor you a winner, That charity is the winner. Reasonably logical!

 

37 minutes ago, Delano said:

Good point. What's the answer

 

Conclusively, Robert Mueller's impeccable reputation of honor and impartiality lack the guts to call a spade a spade; well hidden behind his white male Republican agenda most likely coordinated with Barr, and others, to distort and/or conceal true findings of his own investigation. Including his insistence on a non—public testimony before Congress, because he does not want to politicize his testimony. BS!!! He, Pelosi, Schumer, Sanders, Biden, and all of them stand invested for other than the people; whether 45 stays or goes. And let's not even get started on the GOP, 45 and his base. Hence, cynicism validated, not a damn thing will be okay for Black folk in America, ever!

Posted

Mueller was charged with find out what happened. He's supposed to be nonpartisan and not to interpret what those findings mean. Or at least that's my understanding. 

Posted
6 minutes ago, Delano said:

charged with find out what happened. He's supposed to be nonpartisan and not to interpret

 

That's true. And if you really think Mueller is nonpolitical and impartial, there's a river here in the desert I'll sell to you for cheap. Correction, the duty, and charge of the DOJ are to safeguard and enforce Federal laws that protect the people and the Constitution. Mueller had a duty to make a call, especially since no prior precedence denies or forbids him to make it; just as there's no prior precedence that would permit or deny him to offer public testimony, as opposed to private. America didn't come to be without 'testing the waters'. even in the face of rejection by the SC. It's interesting to see where Mueller goes from here. Back into retirement or a permanent appointment. Just speculating.

Posted

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/3726408-Rosenstein-letter-appointing-Mueller-special.html#document/p1

 

 

Special counselor falls under DOJ. Just like the Vice Squad is a division of the police force. Athe times both investigate their governing body. 

 

He alooked took issue with the interpretation of William Barr. Who is I  effect his boss. He appears to be a man of integrity. How many times have you seen an employee stand up to a superior? 

Posted

I  think he played his  part brilliantly. His investigation made money for the government in addition to showing how the system of buying and selling influence works. How many convictions and how much in fines as the result of the special counsel. 

 

No leaks and he is thorough. Not only did he get Trump's inner circle he gave information to other courts. So even if he got shut down he would still get the job done. 

 

Trumps taxes both personal and business are in play as a direct result of the investigation. Which is going to involve fines and possible jail time for Trump. 

 

The only reason Trump is getting done is because he overreached. You can steal and skim but if you want to be the emperor or dictator even the moneyed elite get nervous. He may have killed the Golden Goose. The other thing is y hat laws are currently being written as a direct result of not repeating Trump. I said it back in 2015 we are witnessing huge geopolitical shifts. And the  "end" of America 

 

 

However time will tell 

Posted

True to all that! Yes, he did his job (with minimum impartiality, but some partiality nonetheless) of investigating 45 with honor and distinction, no one can question that. It's that "honorable distinction" part I have a problem with, among other issues. "Professional Courtesy" among lawyers and doctors is not a requirement, it's a discretionary choice. Most don't like to sue or question the other's integrity. And some don't mind. Robert Mueller is a professional who practices and believes in professional courtesy. That's why he did only not say anything nasty but refrained for saying anything substantial. The opening of his report's introduction should have left no room for interpretation; stated from the beginning whether he found collusion, conspiracy, and obstruction of justice; for the greater good, not out of professional courtesy.

 

Mueller watched Barr's confirmation hearing just as you and I did. And to opine he didn't see what our lay perspective missed would away from the credit we give him.  He knows Barr personally, and to watch his colleague refuse to offer a yes or no to whether he'd provide full disclosure is suspicious, on the high end; evasive on the low end. Mueller's career didn't skyrocket because he's a great person, he excelled because he's a damn good prosecutor. What's the difference between this Don and Teflon Don he took down so many years ago? Is the question I ask. Or perhaps we're wrong about his lawyering skills, or his courage to present an indictment case against a sitting president, to the Supreme Court. He wasn't shy about going after the mob.

2 hours ago, Delano said:

 

Yeah, Rod Rosenstein's another twisted faced sycophant. But he covered himself while giving cover to Mueller too: "If the Special Counsel believes it is necessary and appropriate, the Special Counsel is authorized to prosecute federal crimes arising from the investigation of these matters. (d) Sections 600.4 through 600. l 0 of Title 28 of the Code of Federal Regulations are applicable to the Special Counsel." I'm just saying.

 

 

  • 2 months later...
Posted

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/nadler-presses-ahead-with-impeachment-probe-as-pelosi-keeps-door-open/ar-AAFxiro

The 

 committee is expected to issue some those subpoenas in the coming weeks to seek testimony in September and October, potentially to Corey Lewandowski, Trump's former campaign manager; David Pecker, the chairman of National Enquirer parent company American Media Inc.; and Dylan Howard, a lawyer for the women alleging affairs with Trump who received hush-money payments during the 2016 campaign.

Posted
On 4/2/2019 at 1:32 PM, Delano said:

Troy my statistics professor said you should know who you are gambling with when you bet.

 

Let's make it interesting. How about  $50. for him not finishing his term. but you only have to pay if he either is impeached or terminates in January. 

 

On 4/2/2019 at 3:24 PM, Troy said:

Delano, clarify "terminates in January."

 

On 4/2/2019 at 11:40 PM, Troy said:

OK @Delano Bet.

 

On 5/24/2019 at 5:52 AM, Delano said:

Still think his taxes are a non event? 

 

On 5/24/2019 at 7:26 AM, Troy said:

Nope, I never did, but I still believe he'll serve out his term.

 

The wheels of justice turn slowly and for men like 45 they rarely turn at all. 

Time will tell

  • 1 month later...
Posted
On 8/9/2019 at 7:31 PM, Delano said:

Let's make it interesting. How about  $50. for him not finishing his term. but you only have to pay if he either is impeached or terminates in January. 

 

On 8/9/2019 at 7:31 PM, Delano said:

The wheels of justice turn slowly and for men like 45 they rarely turn at all. 

 

On 8/9/2019 at 7:31 PM, Delano said:

Time will tell

 

Posted

Your predictions have been on the money, so far, brother Troy, but the uncertainty of predictions, by nature of 'educated guesses' comes down to more of a 'wishful dreaming' than not. Screw the laws and justice at this point; it's not even about the majority anymore. Said before and I'll say it again, it's all about survival. For both parties. My faith in the human need to survive leads me to predict 45 won't survive impeachment proceeding under-way. Not sure how it may happen, but I reassert my prediction he will not finish his term.

Posted

Long time @Kalexander2 

 

8 hours ago, Kalexander2 said:

My faith in the human need to survive leads me to predict 45 won't survive impeachment proceeding under-way.

 

My understanding in the human need to survive leads me to understand that it is trumped by greed. 

 

Politicians bolster the fossil fuel industry allowing it to put the planet on a path of not being able to support human life.

 

Allowing 45 to get into, or even remain, in office is a small thing, relatively speaking.

Posted

Brother, Troy, lets consider the chaos theory "unpredictability in a complex system" where nothing is more complex than humans and human nature. Greed and it's outcomes are predictable. For the sake of survival, a man would not only sell his soul to the devil but will also trade his wealth for self or a loved one. The question then becomes 'how far will a human being go to survive" whom will he/she sacrifice or not sacrifice to survive? NOW, throw some 'opportunism/opportunity' in the mix, it predictable 45 days are numbered in weeks and months. 

 

Everyone believes he's committed treason, most recently, a whistleblower has surfaced claiming to have material evidence indicating 45 as a possible traitor; now way the GOP can survive that. Their only way to reserve survival is to turn on the president.  No sir, allowing 45 to remain in office is no longer a small thing, not if parties, citizens, or even other nations want to survive.  

Posted

The problem K2 is that your statement:

 

2 hours ago, Kalexander2 said:

Everyone believes he's committed treason

 

is simply not true. Many people love him.

 

Therefore the reaction you expect will not happen. 

Posted

Perhaps, though love is a strong description, if so, MOST PEOPLE DO NOT LOVE 45. Besides, 'love' is relative, people who support 45 are sycophants seeking a benefit.

They have faith in what they think he can do therm, not faith in the man,

 

That's one way of seeing of it. Another, it is or is not fact based. Smoke isn't necessarily a fire but something's up if the smoke's coming from your bedroom window. Everybody believes he committed treason coupled with facts?

Posted

K2 I see you simply can't wrap your head around the fact that some people love 45. Here in the deep south you can see evidence of it everywhere.

 

Some people believe the treason allegations are a smear campaign -- for real!

Posted

You couldn't see impeachment hearings. A year ago, yet here we are. He is threatening the money, and that will get you tossed out on your ear. 

 

He represents hope for those who will no longer have the superior position either economically or numerically. He is not their saviour. He is saying what they need to hear  while picking their pocket. So he is the consummate confidence man. 

Posted
Just now, Troy said:

some people love 45.

 

Just now, Troy said:

Some people believe the treason allegations are a smear campaign

 

Some is not most; But who cares, except for those who need to entertain 45's need for grandeur, for a benefit in return. I believe my head's wrapped well around the concept of 'love' an overrated human con game to get something. Whether it's family, child and parent or lovers, what they call love's more of mutual needs than not. 

 

Just now, Delano said:

He represents hope for those who will no longer have the superior position either economically or numerically. He is not their saviour.

 

Greed and grandiosity motivates this president. To believe different is not a belief at all, it's a con game, to get something from this idiot-in-chief. 'D' is right; And it is becoming clearer each day, that those "some's"  already disappointed as their hero-in-chief can't come through for them.  

Posted

 

 

In a conversation yesterday an acquaintance said. The middle class has been removed. They are no longer needed as a buffer between the wealthy  and the poor. And we are in free fall

Posted

Imagine that, 'the middle class' majority of American voters (both Dems and Republicans) lost ground in achieving the American dream. Such economic pilfering by 45 and the GOP can't/won't survive this. That, coupled with another eminent government shut-down, impeachment proceeding revealing emolument violations, treason  alligations, slowing economies and markets, and GOP losing territories and creditabili8ty; 45 probably won't make to the end of the year.

 

Keep a close eye on "Moscow Mitch" during these impeachment proceedings.

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